Published in , 2025
Examines how firm forecasting behavior shapes inflation dynamics.
Recommended citation: Minton, Robert, and Hugo Monnery. "How Firms Form Beliefs and the Implications for Inflation." Working Paper, November 2025.
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Published in , 2025
Analyzes how fixed-rate mortgage lock-in dampens house price responses to rising interest rates.
Recommended citation: Katz, Justin, and Robert Minton. "Rising Interest Rates, Mortgage Rate Lock, and House Price Fluctuations." Working Paper, October 2025.
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Published in , 2024
Provides a market equilibrium framework for interpreting difference-in-differences estimates.
Recommended citation: Minton, Robert, and Casey B. Mulligan. "A Market Interpretation of Treatment Effects." NBER Working Paper No. 33228, November 2024.
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Published in , 2023
Develops theory and evidence that supply chain structure delays the pass-through of cost shocks to consumer prices. Reject and resubmit, American Economic Review.
Recommended citation: Minton, Robert, and Brian Wheaton. "Delayed Inflation in Supply Chains: Theory and Evidence." Working Paper, December 2023.
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Published in , 2023
Shows how minimum wages interact with the rigid-wage channel of monetary policy.
Recommended citation: Minton, Robert, and Brian Wheaton. "Minimum Wages and the Rigid-wage Channel of Monetary Policy." Working Paper, September 2023.
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Published in , 2023
Examines how minimum wages affect internal migration patterns.
Recommended citation: Minton, Robert, and Brian Wheaton. "Minimum Wages and Internal Migration." Working Paper, June 2023.
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